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outlook

November 17, 2021

European family offices are more optimistic about the economic outlook for 2022 than Asia-Pacific and North American peers and more than half of continental families are open to new investment opportunities.

European family offices are more optimistic about the economic outlook for 2022 than Asia-Pacific and North American peers and more than half of continental families are open to new investment opportunities.

November 9, 2021

Agreeing on and abiding by a family constitution serves as the backbone for success for the leading Indian integrated logistics service provider V-Trans, owned and operated by the second-generation Shah family.

Agreeing on and abiding by a family constitution serves as the backbone for success for the leading Indian integrated logistics service provider V-Trans, owned and operated by the second-generation Shah family.

Mahendra Shah (pictured), group managing director and chief executive of V-Trans India Ltd, paid tribute to his late father and uncle as “the true entrepreneurs” who laid the foundation of the group based on ethics and values in 1958.

October 15, 2021

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

In the 26 years that Ruffer LLP has been in existence, a clear pattern has emerged. When the market mood is either complacent or ebullient, equity indices tend to rise strongly, and we lag behind them. An ‘unexpected’ crisis then hits, and Ruffer quickly recovers lost ground.

October 5, 2021

Family offices are evolving—what should you be focusing on in the future? Share your insights in our new survey.

Family offices are evolving—what should you be focusing on in the future?

In partnership with TMF Group, Campden Wealth is delighted to be working on a new survey that will highlight the latest trends and issues facing family offices.

The aim is to uncover attitudes on the changing landscape and find ways to generate efficiencies, ease the administrative burden and capitalise on specialists’ skill sets.

October 1, 2021

The Covid-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening.

The Covid-19 delta variant, inflation and central bank tapering are unnerving investors. We expect the pandemic-recovery trade to resume as inflation subsides, infection rates decline and tapering turns out to not equal tightening.

Amid this backdrop, our outlook favours equities over bonds, the value factor over the growth factor and non-US stocks over US stocks.

Key market themes

August 18, 2021

The investment industry is now seeing an expansion in data-driven practices, with new ESG and climate datasets emerging and becoming mainstream. We explore what climate risk metrics are and how they are used today.

The investment industry is now seeing an expansion in data-driven practices, with new ESG and climate datasets emerging and becoming mainstream. We explore what climate risk metrics are and how they are used today.

August 10, 2021

Is the global economy’s uneven recovery leading to more opportunities for equity managers? The answer: Yes, according to our latest quarterly report on equity managers.

Is the global economy’s uneven recovery leading to more opportunities for equity managers? The answer: Yes, according to our latest quarterly report on equity managers.

July 13, 2021

We have been talking of inflation for well over a decade—which is not the same thing as calling its timing. An impasse was created by the failure of the economy to grow after the 2008 crisis—all the risks (as we patiently explained) were deflationary, and in vain did the central banks and governments try to force an inflationary impulse into a sluggish world. Their primary weapon? An invention, deployed on a grand scale—quantitative easing (QE to its friends).

I am writing this just before a US inflation report which, to quote Bloomberg, “May provide clues on the monetary-policy outlook; S&P futures were little changed, as were European stocks [awaiting] the next policy statement from the European Central Bank…”

June 17, 2021

“I have little doubt that with excess savings, new stimulus savings, huge deficit spending, more QE, a new potential infrastructure bill, a successful vaccine and euphoria around the end of the pandemic, the US economy will likely boom,” Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, said in May 2021.

The number of companies raising prices in the United States is at a 35-year high.

“I have little doubt that with excess savings, new stimulus savings, huge deficit spending, more QE, a new potential infrastructure bill, a successful vaccine and euphoria around the end of the pandemic, the US economy will likely boom,” Jamie Dimon, chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, said in May 2021.

“This boom could easily run into 2023 because all the spending could extend well into 2023.”

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